6-foot rule, Fauci, and the bigger picture
6-foot rule, Fauci, and the bigger picture
Pandemic revisionism at its finest
Last week, Fauci testified before a special House subcommittee. While the subcommittee’s main focus was Covid-19 origins, other topics snuck in, including the 6-foot social distancing policy during the pandemic. This was a key measure taken to slow down spread, including at schools, businesses, and places of worship.
A level-headed evaluation of decisions and policies made during the pandemic is helpful and needed, but that’s not at all what happened here. Instead, there were empty, unhelpful questions lacking nuance and depth, and at worst, unhinged harassment of public servants.
The result? A dangerous wave of “pandemic revisionism”—headlines and viral social media accounts taking soundbites of the hearing and concluding that pandemic policies were worthless or that public health officials just made stuff up.
Americans deserve (and need) so much better.
6-foot rule: Where did it come from?
Last week, the subcommittee blamed Fauci for the 6-foot policy. Fauci responded saying he was unaware of studies supporting the 6-foot social distancing guidelines. He then clarified that it wasn’t based on randomized control trials.
There are a few problems with this exchange:
This wasn’t a Fauci decision. The 6-foot guideline was decided by CDC.
This policy wasn’t pulled out of thin air. During the Bush administration, this key strategy was put into the pandemic playbook in 2007 and again in 2017. It was based on our knowledge of flu at the time, which showed droplets as a main form of transmission (rather than aerosols). Given that Covid-19 was a novel virus, pulling from a pandemic playbook was the right decision.
Even though 6 feet was not the “perfect distance,” it still helped prevent transmission.
The mistake was not updating the policy quickly enough. It turns out Covid-19 has droplets, but its main mode of transmission is aerosols (i.e., airborne). In the summer of 2020, more than 200 scientists sent a letter to the WHO urging them to recognize this, as it would impact policy decisions. However, it took over a year for the CDC and WHO to officially recognize it. Why? And why did the U.S. go with 6 feet while the WHO went with 1 meter? Now, these are questions that would be useful to answer.
You won’t get a randomized control trial in times of an emergency. We were losing thousands of people per day. We have to move quickly and with suboptimal information. This is why preparedness is so important. Even so, some questions we ethically can’t answer with an RCT.
It ignores what we learned. When the world works on one thing, we learn leaps and bounds. One example is how much we learned about the power of air ventilation and filtration.
But these points are coming far too late. Millions this week received the wrong and dangerous message that the 6-foot rule was based on no science thanks to this botched exchange, erroneous headlines and viral tweets. Clawing back the narrative for the next response—such as bird flu where droplets may be an important driver of a disease — will be incredibly difficult.
Attacking scientists is also not the answer.
It’s reasonable to ask Fauci why he made certain decisions, what conversations he was a part of, or what his thinking was at the time. After all, he was one of the key decision-makers.
However, vilifying, attacking, and ripping apart public servants is unacceptable, undeserved, and certainly unhelpful in propelling us forward. Some tweets, like the one below by Elon Musk, was viewed more than 44 million times.
Public health leaders stepped up during a time of great uncertainty using systems too old to succeed while losing, at its peak, 3,500 people a day. They had to make incredibly difficult decisions, often with incomplete information, many of which were valid decisions based on the data at the time. Yes, they made mistakes, but their service was heroic and patriotic, too. We can live with these two truths. If not, we risk losing public health leaders — why would someone step up when this is how they’re treated?
We need a far better approach.
A proper diagnosis with the breadth, depth, and fairness the Covid-19 emergency deserves, driven by critical thinking and diverse perspectives:
Why weren’t we prepared?
What decisions were made, when, why, and by whom?
What mistakes were unavoidable and avoidable?
What could have saved more lives?
How could we have a better balanced, holistic view of health?
What tangible steps will be taken to do better in the future?
There is precedent for such an approach: the 9/11 Commission. However, a united, national diagnosis seems less likely as the months pass.
Thankfully, some groups have taken it upon themselves to start patching together answers:
State-level diagnoses, like New Jersey
Books like Lessons from the Covid-19 War: An investigative report
Reports from independent organizations, like American Democracy & Health Security: Lighting a Path Forward Amid Pandemic Polarization
Will this be enough for the future? Especially with no funding to make the changes needed? Time will tell, but this is a gamble given that health threats are coming faster.
Bottom line
The United States lost more than 1 million lives—worse per capita than any other developed nation. We deserve to know why and what steps are needed to ensure this doesn’t happen again. However, resorting to unhinged attacks and disingenuous waves of pandemic revisionism will only hurt us in the end.
Love, YLE
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“Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE)” is written by Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, MPH PhD—an epidemiologist, data scientist, wife, and mom of two little girls. During the day, she is a senior scientific consultant to a number of organizations, including the CDC. At night, she writes this newsletter. Her main goal is to “translate” the ever-evolving public health science so that people will be well-equipped to make evidence-based decisions. This newsletter is free, thanks to the generous support of fellow YLE community members. To support this effort, subscribe below:
Thank you. I often say I wish I could take people back in to the hospitals in the early days of Covid. It was terrifying. We had no idea what to expect. The rules were changing daily. No PPE. Freezer trucks full of bodies. To see people attack Dr. Fauci enrages me. They have no idea what we were dealing with. Thank God for scientists like him, like you, who were giving us some guidance.
Decisions were made with the information on hand at the time, and constantly evolving as information was updated. Hindsight always seems to be 20/20 but if not for Dr. Fauci and the other scientists, the situation could've been even worse than it already was. Thank you for being here and writing this newsletter to keep us all better informed.