A few days ago, the WSJ published an Op Ed written by a surgical oncologist (ie cancer) entitled: “We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April”. I’ve probably gotten 1,000ish messages asking me to comment on this, so this is my attempt.
Disclaimer: I didn’t know how to do this without sounding like a professor. This was the easiest and most straightforward way to write this blog post. So, this looks like one of my students’ papers with edits/comments/reactions. (I’m sure my students are getting a kick out of this post). In the document, the highlighted colors are meaningful. And I tried to associate a comment box with every yellow and red color.
GREEN (I agree);
YELLOW (I agree and I disagree); and
RED (I disagree).
Here we go…
When will we reach herd immunity? This is a really difficult question to accurately answer. Herd immunity in 6 weeks sounds really nice, but it’s important to keep realistic expectations. I am doubtful this will happen.
I get it, we are all drinking water from a fire hose. But, if you don’t have a good grasp on the science, don’t write an Op Ed and, more importantly, don’t let that Op Ed get published
Data sources (I couldn’t link them in the PDF):