On July 7, I posted five reasons as to why CFR may be decreasing while cases are increasing. One of which was lag time. In other words, deaths today aren’t indicative of spread today, but rather a reflection of case severity 20-30 days ago. It’s been 27ish days since exponential growth started across several states. We should start seeing an uptick in CFR if this hypothesis is correct.
Case Fatality Rates
Case Fatality Rates
Case Fatality Rates
On July 7, I posted five reasons as to why CFR may be decreasing while cases are increasing. One of which was lag time. In other words, deaths today aren’t indicative of spread today, but rather a reflection of case severity 20-30 days ago. It’s been 27ish days since exponential growth started across several states. We should start seeing an uptick in CFR if this hypothesis is correct.