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My guess for the RIs starting in the South is just that schools start a little earlier down here than up North.

Schools in the north (where I am from) want kids to enjoy the remnants of summer before the weather switches.

Families in the South are perfectly fine being inside in late August, and would much rather have summer vacation in late May.

School is where a lot of transmission happens, and I would guess that's why RI start down here and move north.

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