3 Comments
тна Return to thread

For what it's worth, we're seeing those couple of months right now. The problem is, I predicted we'd have that last year in late September/early October, just before omicron was identified.

Expand full comment

I don't think anybody had crazy high transmissable Omicron on their 2021 dance card. Can a new variant top it by as much? Hopefully not!

Expand full comment

Since we're still not completely sure just why its transmission rate was so high... outside of the fact that it effectively evaded immunity acquired solely from infection, AND immunity derived from vaccination without boost that was more than 8 months past, that's an open question. The incidence curve for omicron looked a lot like that for an absolutely unprotected population widely exposed to an infectious process. Right now, however, while deaths are decreasing, that curve is prolonged in its downward trajectory.

Expand full comment