Hi, and thank you for this wonderful resources and all your hard work!! My understanding is that the current numbers are all a temporary dip before the next (and biggest and last) surge is likely going to happen due to the variant/s (the UK one that is doubling every ten days in US), in about 6-12 give or take weeks or so. I'm grateful for any dip OF COURSE, but Michael Osterholm sees this as the calm before the category five hurricane is approaching. I'm interested to know if you see it differently.
First of all, thank you for all you are doing to get accurate understandable information out to the masses. I am a nurse practitioner in a retail clinic, performing COVID testing daily. Our rapid antigen tests and PCRs give us negative or positive results. They do not show a strain or variant. How do we know the actual prevalence of the variants if the tests are not that specific?
Does the nine months to 75% include those already infected, and thus possibly already immune? (and this is all great stuff... the first time I've subscribed to a substack and well worth it!)
Nine months from when we started, or nine months from now?
Hi, and thank you for this wonderful resources and all your hard work!! My understanding is that the current numbers are all a temporary dip before the next (and biggest and last) surge is likely going to happen due to the variant/s (the UK one that is doubling every ten days in US), in about 6-12 give or take weeks or so. I'm grateful for any dip OF COURSE, but Michael Osterholm sees this as the calm before the category five hurricane is approaching. I'm interested to know if you see it differently.
First of all, thank you for all you are doing to get accurate understandable information out to the masses. I am a nurse practitioner in a retail clinic, performing COVID testing daily. Our rapid antigen tests and PCRs give us negative or positive results. They do not show a strain or variant. How do we know the actual prevalence of the variants if the tests are not that specific?
Does the nine months to 75% include those already infected, and thus possibly already immune? (and this is all great stuff... the first time I've subscribed to a substack and well worth it!)